Abstract
Accurate traffic flow forecasting is the foundation of intelligent transportation systems. This study proposes a spatio-temporal graph neural network that jointly models the graph structure of the road network and temporal dependencies. The model was evaluated on six months of data from 207 sensors in Istanbul and on PeMS-BAY. The proposed method reduced the mean absolute error of 30-minute forecasts by 9.4% compared with DCRNN. The contribution of representing weekend and holiday patterns with separate embeddings was analysed.
Akıllı Şehirlerde Trafik Akışı Tahmini için Uzamsal-Zamansal Çizge Sinir Ağları
Trafik akışının doğru tahmini akıllı ulaşım sistemlerinin temelini oluşturur. Bu çalışmada yol ağının çizge yapısını ve zamansal bağımlılıkları birlikte modelleyen bir uzamsal-zamansal çizge sinir ağı önerilmiştir. Model, İstanbul'daki 207 sensörden elde edilen 6 aylık veriler ve PeMS-BAY veri kümesiyle değerlendirilmiştir. Önerilen yöntem 30 dakikalık tahminde ortalama mutlak hatayı DCRNN'e göre %9,4 azaltmıştır. Hafta sonu ve tatil desenlerinin ayrı gömüler ile temsil edilmesinin başarıya katkısı analiz edilmiştir.
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- Ethics Approval
- This study does not require ethics committee approval.
- Conflict of Interest
- The authors declare no conflict of interest.
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© 2025 Emre Yavaş, Tarık Hasanović. This article is distributed under the terms of the CC BY 4.0 license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. License text